Talk:Springfield Downs/@comment-363874-20131012162547

According to TSTOTopix, the odds displayed aren't the real chances you have of winning, and instead the real probabilities for 2-1, 5-1, 9-1, 19-1 and 99-1 are about 50.5%, 25.3%, 15.2%, 7.6% and 1.5% respectively. This seems to make sense, as I'm pretty sure I win the 2-1 odds around half the time (instead of a third of the time). If those percentages are correct, then after 100 races (assuming they were statistically perfect, and ignoring the fact you can't have 50.5 wins out of 100) your profits for each set of odds would be:

2-1, $103060, 6263 XP

5-1, $103000, 6263 XP

9-1, $103000, 6515 XP

19-1, $103200, 6516 XP

99-1, $104000, 5684 XP

In other words, it doesn't seem to matter at all statistically which one you pick.